Value Bet

Value Bet Calculator

Value Bet Calculator

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What is Value Betting?

bet calculatorValue betting is a strategy in which bettors identify bets that offer better odds than what would be predicted by probability calculations of events occurring, meaning bookmakers have underestimated its likelihood. Bettors can then exploit this discrepancy and leverage it into higher profits over time.

How Value Betting Works

  1. Assessing True Probability: Bettors must first estimate the true probability of an outcome occurring, usually based on their research, analysis, and understanding of the sport or event in question.
  2. Comparing Odds: Bettors then compare their estimated probability with the odds offered by bookmakers. If the bookmaker’s odds imply a lower probability than the bettor’s estimate, a value bet may be present.
  3. Calculating Value: By calculating the value offered by a bet, bettors can determine whether it’s worth pursuing.
  4. Placing Bets: Bettors place their wagers on outcomes they believe offer value, aiming to secure long-term profits by consistently finding and exploiting value bets.

Using a Value Bet Calculator

A value bet calculator simplifies the process of identifying and calculating value bets by automating the following steps:

  1. Inputting Odds: Bettors enter the odds offered by the bookmaker for a single outcome.
  2. Inputting Estimated Probability: Bettors input their own estimated probability for the outcome occurring.
  3. Calculating Value: The value bet calculator determines the value offered by the bet, based on the bookmaker’s odds and the bettor’s estimated probability.
  4. Analyzing Results: The calculator displays the value percentage, allowing bettors to make informed decisions about whether to pursue the bet or not.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Value Betting


  1. Long-Term Profits: By consistently identifying and exploiting value bets, bettors can secure higher profits over time.
  2. Analytical Approach: Value betting encourages bettors to research and analyze events in-depth, increasing their understanding and knowledge of the sport.
  3. Versatility: Value betting can be applied across various sports and betting markets.


  1. Time-Consuming: Identifying value bets and estimating true probabilities can be time-consuming and requires dedication.
  2. Subjectivity: Estimating true probabilities is often subjective and can vary between bettors, making it difficult to accurately pinpoint value bets.
  3. Variance: While value betting can lead to long-term profits, short-term variance may still result in losing streaks.


Value betting can be a highly effective strategy for long-term success in betting by taking advantage of discrepancies in bookmaker odds. By using a value bet calculator, bettors can quickly identify potential value bets and make informed decisions quickly and efficiently. While value betting requires dedication and an analytical mindset, its potential long-term profits make it an appealing strategy.